Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.124383 0.145958 0.169741 0.197845 0.230088 0.265858 0.308484
2025-12-28 0.089126 0.118208 0.153846 0.200441 0.259429 0.331270 0.424990
2026-01-04 0.071510 0.103956 0.146957 0.207470 0.289659 0.396517 0.544910
2026-01-11 0.059120 0.092834 0.140529 0.211824 0.314328 0.454746 0.659604
2026-01-18 0.049513 0.083290 0.133915 0.213695 0.334183 0.506775 0.769316
2026-01-25 0.041812 0.074942 0.127292 0.213831 0.350412 0.553960 0.875184
2026-02-01 0.035198 0.067007 0.119837 0.211155 0.361272 0.593268 0.971840
2026-02-08 0.029746 0.059988 0.112651 0.207588 0.369700 0.628797 1.064798
2026-02-15 0.024630 0.052603 0.103648 0.199533 0.369422 0.649886 1.135951
2026-02-22 0.022995 0.051487 0.105509 0.210432 0.401946 0.726417 1.302083
2026-03-01 0.019530 0.046106 0.098690 0.204663 0.404512 0.752813 1.386671
2026-03-08 0.016458 0.040964 0.091547 0.197262 0.403088 0.771791 1.459468
2026-03-15 0.014030 0.036829 0.085920 0.192282 0.405971 0.799178 1.550295
2026-03-22 0.012664 0.034880 0.084565 0.195727 0.425352 0.857982 1.701886
2026-03-29 0.011738 0.033805 0.084916 0.202695 0.452231 0.932567 1.887417
2026-04-05 0.010719 0.032299 0.084078 0.206966 0.473975 0.998965 2.062221
2026-04-12 0.009664 0.030486 0.082254 0.208800 0.490743 1.056875 2.224742
2026-04-19 0.008641 0.028547 0.079832 0.208932 0.503795 1.108242 2.377836
2026-04-26 0.007604 0.026344 0.076422 0.206312 0.510530 1.147298 2.509220
2026-05-03 0.006660 0.024208 0.072847 0.202819 0.514897 1.181670 2.633328
2026-05-10 0.005657 0.021655 0.067763 0.194932 0.508404 1.192761 2.710658
2026-05-17 0.005487 0.021759 0.069915 0.205604 0.546029 1.300032 2.993260
2026-05-24 0.004751 0.019790 0.065965 0.199955 0.544350 1.322327 3.099117